The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is strategically shifting its focus towards fostering robust private sector partnerships to mitigate investment risks within the nation's raw materials value chain. This pivot aims to stimulate industrial growth and bolster investor confidence in a sector rich with potential but historically hampered by perceived risks and a lack of comprehensive data. Usman Okpanachi, Director of the Statistics Department at the CBN, announced the apex bank's renewed approach, which will prioritize strengthening data systems, enhancing policy coordination, and expanding stakeholder engagement. The CBN intends to transition from direct intervention to creating an enabling environment that supports investment in processing and manufacturing industries. "We will be ready to partner, share our lessons and see how that can be put to use towards de-risking the raw material space so that we can begin to see more investment and participation by the private sector," Okpanachi stated at the 2026 Bullion Lecture in Lagos.

This strategic reorientation addresses the long-standing challenge of limited data, weak coordination, and elevated risk perceptions that have deterred substantial private investment in Nigeria's raw materials sector, despite its significant potential for industrialization. The CBN emphasizes that credible data is fundamental to ongoing reforms, positing that improved statistical systems will enhance transparency, aid in price discovery, and facilitate better investment decisions across various value chains.

The CBN's new strategy builds upon its previous engagement in development finance but signals a more collaborative model designed to attract private capital rather than lead interventions directly. This initiative aligns with broader policy efforts to shift Nigeria's economic focus from exporting raw commodities to domestic processing and manufacturing. Complementing these efforts, the Raw Materials Research and Development Council is advancing a framework that could mandate at least 30 percent processing of raw materials before export, a policy already gaining presidential backing and moving towards legislative enactment. This legislative push is intended to ensure that more value is retained within the Nigerian economy and to spur industrial expansion.

Historically, Nigeria has exported commodities like crude oil, cocoa, and cashew in minimally processed forms, capturing a small fraction of their total value while simultaneously importing finished goods at a higher cost. For instance, raw cashew exports generate approximately $1,050 per tonne, in stark contrast to the as much as $7,800 for processed kernels. This value retention gap means Nigeria captures as little as 1 to 2 percent of total value across several commodities, compared to over 90 percent in more industrialized economies. The push to de-risk investment and encourage value addition is seen as crucial for insulating the economy from external shocks, enhancing domestic manufacturing capabilities, and securing livelihoods.

Challenges such as inadequate infrastructure, regulatory inefficiencies, and high financing costs have persistently hindered Nigeria's raw material sector. Poor transportation networks and unreliable electricity supply, for example, increase operational costs and limit domestic processing capabilities. Additionally, inconsistent fiscal policies and the continued importation of goods that could be produced locally undermine domestic industries and deter investment. The CBN's partnership-driven approach is expected to be successful if it translates into tangible reductions in investment risk through improved data, coordination, and clear policy signals.